Fremtidsanalyse

Lande  
Australien
Danmark
England
Finland
Frankrig
Sverige
Tyskland
USA

Organisationer  
OECD

Det danske arbejdsmarked 

Digitale trends & det danske arbejdsmarked 
Tænketanken Cevea og HK Danmark 2015
Rapport, der belyser forskellige aspekter af den næste digitale bølge og hvilke effekter den kunne tænkes at have.
... Beregninger på baggrund af metoden anvendt af Frey & Osborne, viser at hele 876.689 danske job er i høj risiko for automatisering indenfor de næste 10-20 år. 
www.cevea.dk ... pdf 

Automatiseringens effekter på det danske arbejdsmarked 
Automatisering af arbejdskraft kan påvirke det danske arbejdsmarked som helhed ... Future of Work in Europe's Digital Front-runners', McKinsey & Company, October 2017 ..... trend i online handel, ... Eksisterende teknologi kan automatisere mindst en arbejdsdag om ugen for otte ud af ti danskere.
www.regeringen.dk ... pdf 

Digitalisering af arbejdsmarkedet - FAOS - Københavns Universitet
Anna Ilsøe & Louise Weber Madsen 2017 
Formålet med denne analyse er dels at definere, hvad vi kan forstå ved digitalisering af arbejdsmarkedet, og dels kortlægge omfanget af fænomenet i Danmark.
www.faos.ku.dk ... pdf 

Referencer  

Andersen, JR, Corydon, B, Staun, J, Bughin, J, Lüneborg, J and Schröder, P (2017): A future that works: the impact of automation in Denmark. The Tuborg Research Centre For Globalisation and Firms and McKinsey & Company, Denmark.

Danmarks Statistik (2012) Uddybende notat vedr. brugen af AKU-mikrodata. København: Danmarks Statistik.

Danmarks Statistik (2017) ’Hver femte dansker deltager i deleøkonomien’ Nyt fra Danmarks Statistik, nr. 266.

LO (2016) Platformsøkonomi – lovgivningsmæssige udfordringer og fagbevægelsens løsningsforslag.

Munkø, MM (2017) Reviewartikel: Deleøkonomien I Danmark. Økonomi & Politik. April 2017. 90. Årgang, s. 81-94.

Regeringen 2017, ‘Kommissorium for Disruptionrådet – Partnerskab for Danmarks fremtid’.

Shapiro, H og Hougaard, KF (2016): Udviklingstendenser på det administrative område i den private sektor. Teknologisk Institut og HK.

Trendanalyse - arbejdsmarkedet/fremtidsforskning 
www.trendanalyse.dk/arbejdsmarkedet/fremtidsforskning

 

UK to 2050: 
Intelligent Infrastructure Futures: Technology.
Forward Look – Towards a Cyber-Urban Ecology.  
The Office of Science and Innovation: Foresight Programme ... draft. In total, 38 studies were reviewed in 2006.
www.assets.publishing.service.gov.uk ... pdf 

Australian futurist Richard Slaughter  

Knowledge Base of Futures Studies 2020  
www.houstonforesight.org/?p=6302

Awards: Richard Slaughter 

The biggest wake up call in history: Richard Slaughter (2011).  Slaughter uses integral futures to frame impending environmental crises and collective approaches to solve them.

Integral Futures: Special Issue of Futures (Mar 2008), edited by Richard Slaughter, Peter Hayward (APF), Joseph Voros. 
www.apf.org/msfw/award-winners

Integral futures framework  

The Evolution of Integral Futures - A Status Update
Terry Collins and Andy Hines 2010
... Integral Futures is an approach to futures studies that adapted Ken Wilber’s Integral Theory to futures practice.
Integral Theory suggests that four irreducible perspectives (subjective, intersubjective, objective, and interobjective) should be consulted when attempting to fully understand any topic or aspect of reality.
www.andyhinesight.com ... pdf 

EU - European Commission's in-house science service, the Joint Research Centre 
Joint Research Centre (JRC) - EU Science Hub
www.ec.europa.eu/jrc/en

European Foresight Platform

Forward looking activities

Forward Visions on the European Research Area (VERA)

European Stratgey and Policy Analysis System (ESPAS)

www.ec.europa.eu/jrc/en/research/crosscutting-activities/foresight

Houston Foresight Program   
www.houstonforesight.org
www.houstonfutures.org
www.twitter.com/houstonfutures
Peter Bishop, Futures Studies. University of Houston
www.twitter.com/realfuturist

Futures Wheel 
Glenn, J. C. (2009). Futures Wheel. Futures Research Methodology (Version 3.0), AC/UNU Millennium Project, Washington, D.C.
... The Future wheel is a method for graphical visualisation of direct and indirect future consequences of a particular change or development. It was invented by Jerome C. Glenn in 1971.
www.en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Futures_wheel

Futures Research Methodology 
Gordon, T. J., & Glenn, J. C. (2003). Integration, comparisons, and frontiers of futures research methods. Futures Research Methodology (Version 2.0), AC/UNU Millennium Project, Washington, DC. 

The Future of Higher Education
Johnson, J. (2014). Divided We Fail: Why It’s Time for a Broader, More Inclusive Conversation on the Future of Higher Education. A Final Report on the 2013 National Issues Forums. Washingon: Kettering Foundation.  

The Future of Work: Robots, AI, and Automation
Darrell M. West 2018. Brookings Institution. 
www.amazon.co.uk/Future-Work-Robots ... 

What Does Conflict Theory Predict about America's Future? 1993 Presidential Address
Randall Collins. Sociological Perspectives, Vol. 36, No. 4. (Winter, 1993), pp. 289-313.
www.csun.edu ... pdf and www.jstor.org/stable/138 ... 

Schmidt, F (2017). Digital Labour Markets in the Platform Economy. Friedrich-Ebert Stiftung.
www.library.fes.de/pdf-files/wiso/13164.pdf
www.fes.de/gute-gesellschaft-soziale-demokratie-2017plus
 

OECD

The Risk of Automation for Jobs in OECD Countries  
Arntz M, Gregory T and Zierahn U (2016) The Risk of Automation for Jobs in
OECD Countries: A Comparative Analysis, OECD Social, Employment and
Migration Working Papers, No. 189. Paris: OECD Publishing. 
www.oecd-ilibrary.org/social-issues ... 

McKinsey 

 

Chui M, Manyika J and Miremadi M (2015) Four fundamentals of workplace
automation. McKinsey Quarterly, November. Available at: mckinsey.com. 

Chui M, Manyika J and Miremadi M (2016) Where machines could replace humans—and where they can’t (yet). McKinsey Quarterly, July. Available at:mckinsey.com

Finnish Society for Futures Studies  
Pentti Malaska was the founder of the Finnish Society for Futures Studies.
www.tutuseura.fi/english

Society’s Macro-Level Transformation
Part II. Published articles Article 1: Kuosa, Tuomo (2005a) A Study on Theories of Society’s Macro-Level Transformation: A Macrohistorical Comparison of Pentti Malaska’s Theory of Societal Change to Other Theories of Societal Transformation.
Journal of Futures Studies (JFS). Vol. 10 Nro. 1, 2005, 15-30. ... 131 

Futures Studies at Finland Futures Academy (FFA)
Finland Futures Academy (FFA) is a network of 10 Finnish universities. It was established in 1998 to promote and coordinate academic futures education in Finland. The network is co-ordinated by the Finland Futures Research Centre at the University of Turku.
www.utu.fi/en/units/ffrc ... 

Finland Futures Research Centre (FFRC)

Futures Conferences   
www.utu.fi/en/units ... 
www.futuresconference.fi

Finland Futures Research Centre, blog
www.ffrc.wordpress.com

Finland Futures Research Centre 
www.facebook.com/ffrc.tutu
www.twitter.com/ffrc_tutu

Journal of Futures Studies  
www.jfsdigital.org

BRIDGING INDUSTRY 4.0 AND CIRCULAR ECONOMY: A NEW RESEARCH AGENDA FOR FINLAND? 
www.ffrc.wordpress.com ... 

Futurology, Futurists, and the Struggle for the Post Cold War Imagination 
Jenny Andersson 2018. OUP.
www.global.oup.com ...
www.books.google.dk ...
Se også om fremtidsforskningens historie i Sverige
www.fremtidsanalyse.dk/historie/fremtidsforskning

Huws U & Joyce S (2016b) Size of Sweden’s ‘Gig Economy’ Revealed for the First Time. Hertfordshire: University of Hertfordshire